Election countdown: 18 days

North Carolina firmly in the swing state category, with narrow margins in the past 3 Presidential elections and polls that are too close to call. Biden is currently leading by just 3 points, in a state that Trump won by 3 points in 2016.

2008 showed that it’s possible to flip a Southern state

Early voting started yesterday and nearly 230,000 ballots were cast. That’s in addition to half a million mail in ballots that have already been returned—a huge proportion for a state with under 5 million ballots total in the past few elections, and for 18 days out!

North Carolina is also one to watch for its Senate race. Incumbent Republican Senator Thom Tillis and Democratic challenger Cal Cunningham (they love alliteration in NC!) are too close in the polls to call. There were two “October surprises” in the news on October 2nd for both candidates—Tillis tested positive for covid after attending the Rose Garden superspreader event, and Cunningham was revealed to have had an affair this summer. Get the popcorn ready for this one!

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