Election countdown: 20 days

New Mexico has become a fairly safe blue state in recent years. Democrats have usually won by big margins, apart from 2000 and 2004–in 2000, Gore won by just 366 votes, and in 2004, Bush won by 5,988 votes—0.79%! Biden is currently 15 points ahead.

Since becoming a state in 1912, New Mexico has gone for the overall winner in all but 3 elections—and two of those were Al Gore and Hillary Clinton, so New Mexico has a nearly perfect record of picking the winner of the popular vote (in 1976 it went for Ford over Carter).

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