Arizona is looking surprisingly blue in this election. In the span of just a few years, they are going from having two Republican Senators to potentially having two Democrats, as Mark Kelly is leading in the polls. In terms of the presidential race, Biden has been polling ahead of Trump since March, and he’s currently 5 points ahead. In 2016, Trump won AZ by only 3.5%, just 91,000 votes. Arizona is definitely in play this year.